The Bayesian Conspiracy
A conversational podcast for the less hardcore rationalist, who wants to level-up their rational skills while having fun.
- Update frequency
- every 8 days
- Average duration
- 90 minutes
- Episodes
- 312
- Years Active
- 2016 - 2025
177 – Decision Trees and Butlerian Jihads with Matt Freeman
Matt Freeman gives a primer in how to uses Bayesian decision making in normal life, via decision trees. We also discuss utilitarianism, the Guild of the Rose, and recent AI advances. We are now in th…
02:33:32 |
Wed 14 Dec 2022
176 – Circling with Aella
Aella comes on the show to tell us what the heck Circling is and why we should do it.
0:01:21 How Many Rationalists Are There?
0:04:40 Circling
1:09:42 LW Posts
1:41:35 Thank the Patron!
Aella’s Blog
…
0:01:21 How Many Rationalists Are There?
0:04:40 Circling
1:09:42 LW Posts
1:41:35 Thank the Patron!
Aella’s Blog
…
01:45:04 |
Wed 30 Nov 2022
175 – FTX + EA, and Personal Finance
David from The Mind Killer joins us. We got to talking about the FTX collapse and some of the waves it sent through the Effective Altruism community. Afterwards David helps us out with personal finan…
01:45:34 |
Wed 16 Nov 2022
BREAKING – FTX collapse & EA shockwaves
While recording the next episode we got to talking about the FTX collapse and some of the waves it sent through the Effective Altruism community. We decided to break it out into a separate segment so…
00:43:26 |
Sun 13 Nov 2022
174 – Jon Stewart, The Consensus Emancipator
Wes and David from The Mind Killer show up for a special cross-over episode.
We discuss How Stewart Made Tucker
Listen to The Mind Killer 🙂
Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
…
We discuss How Stewart Made Tucker
Listen to The Mind Killer 🙂
Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
…
01:16:16 |
Wed 02 Nov 2022
173 – Oh Lawd, Strong AI is Comin’
Matt Freeman returns to discuss General Artificial Intelligence timelines, and why they are short.
Our primary text is: Why I think strong general AI is coming soon
Other links:
“Let’s think step by …
Our primary text is: Why I think strong general AI is coming soon
Other links:
“Let’s think step by …
02:04:08 |
Wed 19 Oct 2022
172 – Virtue Ethics
Kerry discusses virtue ethics with us, and how one is to live.
After Virtue, by Alasdair MacIntyre
Pareto efficiency at Wikipedia, slightly less dense Pareto Improvement at Investopedia
Our 23rd epis…
After Virtue, by Alasdair MacIntyre
Pareto efficiency at Wikipedia, slightly less dense Pareto Improvement at Investopedia
Our 23rd epis…
02:07:51 |
Wed 05 Oct 2022
171 – All About AGP
Tailcalled gives us the down low on a variation of the popularly discussed (if not that widely liked) transgender typology – autogynephilia (or AGP). Unfortunately, due to technical difficulties, Jac…
01:45:21 |
Wed 21 Sep 2022
170 – By George, The Rent Is Too Damn High!
Eneasz drops a primer on Georgist Land Value Taxes. All increases in productivity will be capture by rising rents for as long as mankind exists, unless we find a way to prevent landlords from capturi…
01:58:35 |
Wed 07 Sep 2022
169 – S&E BS re AGI
Steven and Eneasz discuss the latest timeline shifts regarding the advent of superhuman general intelligence. Then in the LW posts we got greatly sidetracked by politics (stupid mind-killer!).
Links:
…
Links:
…
02:12:56 |
Wed 24 Aug 2022
168 – Unions Are Governments
We speak with Levi/Ferb, learning about labor law in the USA. Turns out it’s not what we thought.
Links:
What would a general strike look like today?
Biden intervenes in railroad contract to block st…
Links:
What would a general strike look like today?
Biden intervenes in railroad contract to block st…
02:41:35 |
Wed 10 Aug 2022
167 – Jugaad Ethics
A Jugaad is like a hack that combines a new thing that doesn’t work anymore with an old thing that sorta worked, as a temporary solution. Now do it for Ethics.
(note: due to technical issue, the last…
(note: due to technical issue, the last…
01:42:09 |
Wed 27 Jul 2022
166 – Getting Lucky
Luck is the most power force in the universe, and leaving power untapped is not very rational.
Searching for Outliers
How to Get Lucky
Also mentioned:
Feedback – It’s Probably Not Lithium
The audio v…
Searching for Outliers
How to Get Lucky
Also mentioned:
Feedback – It’s Probably Not Lithium
The audio v…
01:51:49 |
Wed 13 Jul 2022
165 – DREAM: Dunbar Rules Everything Around Me
Dunbar’s Number is both the cause of and downfall of Human Civilization
Low-Status degrades your health
Your Book Review: The Dawn Of Everything
Mentioned in the follow-ups section:
Lithium suspect?
…
Low-Status degrades your health
Your Book Review: The Dawn Of Everything
Mentioned in the follow-ups section:
Lithium suspect?
…
01:32:25 |
Wed 29 Jun 2022
164 – Pregnancy is Body Horror
Katrina is back!! We talk about how pregnancy isn’t super easy, and is borderline body horror.
War In The Womb
Expecting Better book
Pregnant Women Are Smug
Racial Differences in Maternal Mortality
H…
War In The Womb
Expecting Better book
Pregnant Women Are Smug
Racial Differences in Maternal Mortality
H…
01:52:08 |
Wed 15 Jun 2022
163 – Effective Aesthetics
Étienne Fortier-Dubois argues that Effective Altruism has an Aesthetics problem
But first! Some extended listener feedback
Nuclear War is A-OK if you’re Russian State TV
Three Bodies At Mitani
A Guid…
But first! Some extended listener feedback
Nuclear War is A-OK if you’re Russian State TV
Three Bodies At Mitani
A Guid…
01:38:52 |
Wed 01 Jun 2022
162 – Roe No Mo’
Roe v Wade is going away. This sucks, but it’s not the end of the world.
Polls show most Americans support allowing abortion in the first weeks, banning it in the last trimester.
In state’s where it’…
Polls show most Americans support allowing abortion in the first weeks, banning it in the last trimester.
In state’s where it’…
01:16:58 |
Wed 18 May 2022
161 – Restoring the Kingdom of Hawai’i
Not long ago, Hawai’i was a constitutional monarchy. A lot of Hawaiian residents want that restored. Travis Don Kailikea Paradea takes us through what happened, and what’s going down now.
Recommended…
Recommended…
01:27:01 |
Wed 04 May 2022
160 – GAI is Imminent
Four Major AI Advancements In One Week!
New Scaling Laws for Large Language Models – essentially everyone has been training large language models with a deeply suboptimal use of compute
Googles Pathw…
New Scaling Laws for Large Language Models – essentially everyone has been training large language models with a deeply suboptimal use of compute
Googles Pathw…
02:07:04 |
Wed 20 Apr 2022
159 – Cryonics Concerns, and Theses On Sleep
We address theoretical cryonics concerns, and discuss Guzey’s Theses On Sleep
3:15 Cryonics Concerns
49:21 Theses On Sleep
1:23:01 LW posts
1:50:16 Thank the Patron
Also mentioned:
LW Cryonics Pr…
3:15 Cryonics Concerns
49:21 Theses On Sleep
1:23:01 LW posts
1:50:16 Thank the Patron
Also mentioned:
LW Cryonics Pr…
01:51:20 |
Wed 06 Apr 2022
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