The Bayesian Conspiracy

A conversational podcast for the less hardcore rationalist, who wants to level-up their rational skills while having fun.

Society & Culture Ai Philosophy

Update frequency: every 8 days
Average duration: 90 minutes
Episodes: 312
Years Active: 2016 - 2025

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Bayes Blast 21 – Dudes Catching Son of Sam and Dread Pirate Roberts

How non-expert dudes caught bad dudes.

00:07:52 | Sat 23 Sep 2023

196 – Steven Goes To Court

Steven achieved his dream of serving on a jury. Our local lawyer Justin returns to score him on rational jurying.
0:00:23 – All Rise
1:51:30 – Less Wrong Posts
2:06:55 – Guild of the Rose Update
2:09…

02:11:11 | Wed 20 Sep 2023

195 – KataGo vs AlphaGo: Fight!

Matt’s back which means we have some more AI stuff to talk about! KataGo was built as an adversary to AlphaGo and can beat it 94% of the time using a mere 8% of the computational power!
The trick to …

01:53:45 | Wed 06 Sep 2023

194 – Kinky Data Science with Aella

We talk with Aella about some of the results of her absolutely massive sex & kink survey
LINKS
Aella’s Substack
Aella’s Twitter
You don’t need a perfectly random sample for useful data, jfc
Women Pre…

01:40:59 | Wed 23 Aug 2023

Bayes Blast 20 – Blue Pill/Red Pill in Roko’s Blender

Kill yourself for no reason, or save others?
Lisatomic’s Poll
Roko’s Poll
Eneasz’s annoyance
Scissor’s Statements origin

00:18:22 | Tue 15 Aug 2023

Bayes Blast 19 – Musicgen and Audiogen

Musicgen lets anyone make a quick music snippet and Audiogen is surprisingly good at generating non-confusing sounds! These tools are currently free and will no doubt be mind blowing in just a few mo…

00:08:58 | Thu 10 Aug 2023

193 – Building Baileys with Yassine Meskhout

We speak with Yassine Meskhout of The Bailey about… a whole bunch of things actually.
LINKS
Yassine’s Substack
The Motte
The Bailey podcast
Yassine’s I Am Here Because Of Blind Dumb Luck
Check Here F…

02:17:30 | Wed 09 Aug 2023

192 – Absurdism and the Meaning of Life, with Alex

Alex joins us to smile as we push some boulders up some hills.
LINKS
Effective Altruism As A Tower Of Assumptions
The Myth of Sisyphus by Albert Camus
The Guild of the Rose

0:01:31 – Post-Rat Feedba…

01:53:41 | Wed 26 Jul 2023

Bayes Blast 17 – Gay Pride is White Liberal Pride

Me and Wes exchange hot takes. Mine is stolen shamelessly from Based Camp, go listen to the original source material there, it’s good!

00:13:35 | Fri 14 Jul 2023

191 – What is Post-Rationalism, with Arielle

Seriously though, what’s going on here? Arielle dives in with us.
LINKS
Arielle’s substack – Analog Futures
Bayesian Conspiracy episode #5(!) on What is Rationalism?
The Mind Killer live episode reco…

01:18:09 | Wed 12 Jul 2023

Bayes Blast 16 – Holding PRNS (Present Rate, No Singularity)

How to talk about the future
From On “Present Rate No Singularity” at Thing of Things

00:07:06 | Mon 03 Jul 2023

Bayes Blast 15 – Technological Overemployment

Mo’ productivity, mo’ money, at last
Zvi’s The Overemployed Via ChatGPT

00:08:45 | Fri 30 Jun 2023

190 – How to be Human Together, at VibeCamp, with GPTBrooke

We talk with Brooke, creator and driving force behind VibeCamp. We talk about VibeCamp 2, being human, and the post/rats corner of twitter.

LINKS
Brooke on Twitter
Brooke’s most-moved-by-this Tweet…

01:31:21 | Wed 28 Jun 2023

Bayes Blast 14 – Reddit Sucks

Steven blasts Eneasz with the latest news about how Reddit is doing it’s best to ruin everyone’s good time.
Reddit post from Apollo’s developer on the subject
Followup post for some debunking and ela…

00:10:29 | Tue 27 Jun 2023

189 – AI Bloomer David Youssef

David Youssef from The Guild of the Rose has great ways to integrate ChatGPT into your work, and also thinks AIs will keep humans around.
Links:
ChatGPT leaking Samsung chip secrets is iceberg’s tip
…

01:41:31 | Wed 14 Jun 2023

188 – Living in the Early Singularity, with Matt Freeman

Matt Freeman joins us to discuss life in changing times. Major take away for Eneasz: Be the kind of person your post-singularity descendants will be proud to say “I descended from that man/woman”
Lin…

01:51:32 | Wed 31 May 2023

187 – GitLab & Review Bounties to Save Science, with Richard Acton

Richard Acton returns to denounce pre-publication peer review, and propose a replacement building off the open source software ethos, and review bounties
Richard’s extensive notes for this episode, w…

01:48:20 | Wed 17 May 2023

Bayes Blast 13 – GPT-4 maps every neuron in GPT-2

Blast with Matt re OpenAI using GPT-4 to automatically write explanations for the behavior of neurons in GPT-2, and what this means for Doom (spoiler: it’s good!)
OpenAI’s explanation
Thread – less t…

00:10:49 | Tue 16 May 2023

186 – Why We Aren’t Technically EAs But Totally Would Be, Unlike This Guy

We discuss Eric Hoel’s Why I Am Not An Effective Altruist

Other Links:
EA Forum – Comments on Hoel’s Essay
EA Forum – What actually is the argument for effective altruism?
SSC – Arguments From My…

01:30:50 | Wed 03 May 2023

Bayes Blast 12 – AI White Pills

One of these white pills is more realistic than the other. Which one is which is left as an exercise to the listener. 😉
Roko’s White Pill
AXRP reform AI Alignment with Scott Aaronson

00:04:19 | Tue 25 Apr 2023

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