The Macro Trading Floor
The Macro Trading Floor is a fun and actionable macro and markets podcast hosted by Alfonso Peccatiello and Brent Donnelly. If you are looking for banter, financial education, and actionable trade ideas this is the podcast for you!
- Update frequency
- every 7 days
- Average duration
- 42 minutes
- Episodes
- 117
- Years Active
- 2022 - 2025
Cracks In The US Labor Market - What Next?
Alf and Brent discuss the recent NFP print and its implications for markets. They also reflect on the right framework to apply to RSI and options when dealing with asset classes having skewed return …
00:33:22 |
Sat 06 Sep 2025
The Truth Behind Fiscal Dominance
Alf and Brent discuss the latest attempt from Trump to gain more control over the Fed, and the implications this might have on multiple asset classes. They also discuss the JPY and the political situ…
00:29:12 |
Fri 29 Aug 2025
Run It Hot Hot Hot
Alf and Brent discuss the surprising Jackson Hole speech in which Powell opened up to interest rate cuts already in September. Markets are reacting strongly, but the real question is what should we e…
00:35:01 |
Sat 23 Aug 2025
Is The Fed Ready To Capitulate Dovish?
Alf and Brent discuss the weak labor market data and the likely Fed reaction function. The duo also reflects on how you might be right on the macro idea, but market pricing at inception of your trade…
00:33:46 |
Fri 08 Aug 2025
The Tariff Mismatch Theory
Alf and Brent discuss the sharp USD repricing and the market positioning for a mild tariff impact on the US economy - what if we get a surprising slowdown over the next few months instead?
00:32:04 |
Fri 01 Aug 2025
Carry & Options In A Trump World
Alf and Brent discuss the recent clashes between the Trump administration and the Fed, the more friendly deal-making stance on tariff deals, and how to use options when trying to capture convex moves…
00:37:05 |
Fri 25 Jul 2025
Macro Crossroads: What's Next For Markets?
Alf and Brent discuss the crossroads ahead of us for the economy and markets: the USD selling seems to have lost steam, and tariffs' impact on the economy won't be easy to judge for months. So, what …
00:36:18 |
Fri 18 Jul 2025
Time For The Fed To Turn Dovish?
Alf and Brent discuss the recent soft CPI print and the state of the US labor market. They highlight the odds of a dovish Fed pivot, and what that might entail for markets.
Transcript: https://www…
00:32:59 |
Fri 13 Jun 2025
Another $5 Trillion of US Deficits in 10 Years: Now What?
Alf and Brent discuss recent market developments with a focus on the ''big beautiful bill'' that Republicans are trying to pass in the House and Senate. The initial estimate suggest new tax cuts woul…
00:22:42 |
Fri 16 May 2025
Recession Risks & Reflexivity
Alf and Brent discuss the reflexivity bias: now that the S&P500 is rallying again, investors are keen to talk about AI Capex driving indexes higher - where were they when we hit 4,800? Always be awar…
00:36:18 |
Fri 02 May 2025
Trillions of US Dollars To Sell?!
This week, Alf and Brent focus on an obscure yet crucial component of FX flows: the hedging needs from large institutional investors. These whales own $33+ trillion of USD-denominated assets, and ove…
00:32:05 |
Fri 25 Apr 2025
The Bond Vigilantes Are Here
Alf and Brent discuss the incredible price action we are witnessing: USD down, equities down, and now bond yields up too. This is what Bond Vigilantes price action looks like, and while it's typical …
00:36:48 |
Fri 11 Apr 2025
You Ready For Liberation Day?
Alf and Brent discuss the ''Liberation Day'' deadline for tariffs - and come up with some interesting conclusions. Also, the duo assesses what the Trump administration's long-term plan might be. Fina…
00:36:31 |
Fri 28 Mar 2025
Wake Up: The German Fiscal Stimulus Is Huge
Alf and Brent discuss the German fiscal stimulus announcement: with its gigantic magnitude and fast-track process, this marks a historical turnaround for Germany and Europe. The implications for mark…
00:36:44 |
Fri 07 Mar 2025
Growth Scare: Yes or No?
Alf and Brent unpack the last big market moves which investors are broadly interpreting as a growth scare. Is that the correct interpretation? And in general: are we going to have a US growth scare o…
00:37:42 |
Fri 28 Feb 2025
The Next Big Macro Trade
Markets are caught between cross currents, and the thesis for a stronger USD / sticky inflation seems as valid as the thesis for gentle disinflation / slower growth. Brent and Alf discuss what the ne…
00:35:42 |
Fri 21 Feb 2025
How To Trade Tariff Day
In this episode, Alf and Brent reflect on the upcoming ''Tariff Day'' and how to trade it. The duo shares their scenario-based approach covering multiple asset classes including bonds, FX and equitie…
00:33:39 |
Fri 17 Jan 2025
The UK Bond Market Is Imploding
Alf and Brent discuss the big moves in UK bond markets and the drop in the UK Sterling: bond vigilantes are in action, but what next? They also focus on the upcoming tariff announcement and the impac…
00:35:57 |
Fri 10 Jan 2025
The Most Hawkish Fed In Years - What Now?
Powell delivered a super hawkish message: inflation remains sticky, and the Fed won’t cut rates as much as the market expected in 2025. The “Fed Put” is not there anymore - should investors go and bu…
00:38:53 |
Fri 20 Dec 2024
The US Dilemma in 2025
Alf and Brent discuss the US dilemma in 2025: should Trump be aggressive out of the gate with tariffs sacrificing growth for foreign policy victories, or should he focus on other priorities allowing …
00:36:50 |
Fri 13 Dec 2024
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