When investors ask what return they should expect from an investment in midstream, we typically suggest dividends plus growth plus buybacks. Dividend yields are around 5%. Wells Fargo is forecasting …
As the market absorbed last week’s election results, energy was the clear winner. On the week, midstream infrastructure returned +8.4% while the S&P500 was +4.7%. The main driver of outperformance is…
Donald Trump’s political comeback looks a lot like the recovery in the energy sector. In March 2020 during the pandemic pipeline stocks slumped as crude oil prices briefly turned negative. Within a y…
Performance in the pipeline sector remains strong – closing in on its fourth straight year beating the S&P500 and ahead overall for the past five. But for the past six months the Alerian MLP Infrastr…
An axiom of capitalism is that a business must earn a Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) in excess of its Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC). It’s just as true for a lemonade stand as for a congl…
The pause in issuing new Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) permits is among the least defensible energy policies of this Administration. It has been widely criticized. Jamie Dimon called it naive, and the …
The long term demand outlook for natural gas continues to improve. India is likely to double its consumption by 2040, and much of that will rely on imports of Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG). This will o…
A couple of weeks ago South Bow Corporation (SOBO) began trading on Nasdaq. It’s a spin-off from TC Energy (TRP) which decided to split its liquids business off from its core natural gas pipeline act…
The International Energy Agency (IEA) released their 2024 World Energy Outlook last week. The IEA has become a renewables cheerleader in recent years, issuing projections of energy consumption that a…
Politicians from both parties long ago learned that fiscal prudence leads to electoral oblivion. Therefore, the absence of the deficit as a topic of conversation should surprise no-one. Publicly owne…
We received a few comments from readers in response to last Sunday’s Heat Pumps Need Natural Gas. While EVs are widely criticized for the issues with charging, where heat pumps are installed, they se…
Some may find irony in BP dropping its goal of reduced oil and gas output by 2030 at the same time as Hurricane Milton is barreling towards southwest Florida – the second hurricane in two weeks. Four…
I was surprised to read the other day that sales of heat pumps across Europe dropped 47% in 1H24 versus a year earlier. The EU has adopted more aggressive policies to combat climate change than any o…
Revisions this year for the ten year growth outlook for US power demand because of AI data centers have provided support for midstream energy stocks, as additional natural gas will be needed (see The…
The outlook for crude prices is a frequent conversation topic among energy investors. We’re often asked for our thoughts – over the next several years we’re bullish as growing demand from developing …
When a sector has enjoyed a period of good performance, the investor typically has to moderate her feelings of satisfaction at a choice well made with concerns about a crowded trade. When a good idea…
I spent two weeks recently touring southern England with my wife. It’s 42 years since I moved to the US, and I appreciate my old country more now than as a teenager itching to escape to the new world…
If a single chart can illustrate the challenges in reducing emissions, it’s the scatterplot below showing per capita energy use and GDP. Raising living standards requires more energy. The relationshi…
It’s hard to overstate the global success of US natural gas production. Over the past decade we’ve grown output by 37 Billion Cubic Feet per Day (BCF/D), accounting for half the global increase. We n…
To be an energy investor is to consider the energy transition on a daily basis. You don’t even have to be certain that man-made global warming is happening. Simply accepting that it may be possible s…
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Wed 11 Sep 2024
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