This podcast is based on the simple premise that accurate, contrarian fantasy predictions matter. They could mean the difference between missing the playoffs and winning your league. Since 2013, BJ has written 3,000+ fantasy columns and advised 10,000+ managers using home-grown data analytics and other empirical evidence. He's also won several national fantasy tournaments, including one vs. 60,000+ people and another vs. 330,000+ people. E-mail him at [email protected].
What do Jayden Daniels and Carson Wentz have in common? Not much, except they both were drafted #2 overall, helped lead their franchise to success not seen in years, and crushed it at/near the start …
The once dominant Dez Bryant, Odell Beckham Jr., and Michael Thomas were never the same after their age-26 seasons. Last year, the 11 WRs with the most receiving yards were 25 or younger. Should dyna…
Only 10 of the 20 highest-priced players in 2024 fantasy auctions met or exceeded expectations. Here’s how to optimize value and minimize risk.
With reports that Caleb Williams and his offense are struggling a bit in camp, should managers be concerned? Or is this like Jared Goff circa 2022, before the Lions’ offense started clicking?
Some dynasty RBs are worth what you invest in them. Many “great” RBs are not.
Why is Jonathan Taylor overvalued and rookie backfield teammate DJ Giddens undervalued?
This season, AFC teams will have one more home game than NFC teams. History shows that will impact macro-level fantasy production.
Why “Check out the seven wide receivers I just drafted!“ is often one of the saddest statements in fantasy.
The Madden Curse is real, but it’s not a curse. Here’s why it was predictable that five of the six RBs featured on EA Sports’ Madden NFL video game regressed and/or had serious injuries right after a…
On episode 2, I discussed the strange impact of Mike Williams’ retirement on Trey Harris‘s and Quentin Johnston‘s ADPs. Keenan Allen‘s recent arrival makes this story even stranger.
Why are ADPs based more on last year’s stats than on context, and what does this tell us about Tua Tagovailoa’s (QB20 ADP) actual value?
Since 2002, the average rookie scoring ranking for 7th-round running backs is RB123. That excludes all the 7th-round rookies who don’t even see game action. So should managers buy into the hype surro…
Why does the market still view Travis Kelce as a near-elite fantasy TE?
Two summers ago, Kadarius Toney had plenty of hype. After Week 1, in hindsight, his career was effectively over. This summer, Jaydon Blue has received negative and positive reviews. How should manage…
A quarterback’s overall ADP is 110. I’ve got him at 60. When should you draft him?
Can Zach Ertz replicate his 2024 resurgence and remain fantasy-relevant?
Most big performers in the opening week of the preseason do very little during the regular season. So how should we size up last night’s biggest performers?
Do Lamar Jackson and Josh Allen have only one or two great years remaining? Or is the data set for dual-threat declining quarterbacks too small?
Draft rankings matter, but only if we’re speaking the same language. Hint: we’re not.