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Fantasy Football for Winners - Podcast

Fantasy Football for Winners

This podcast is based on the simple premise that accurate, contrarian fantasy predictions matter. They could mean the difference between missing the playoffs and winning your league. Since 2013, BJ has written 3,000+ fantasy columns and advised 10,000+ managers using home-grown data analytics and other empirical evidence. He's also won several national fantasy tournaments, including one vs. 60,000+ people and another vs. 330,000+ people. E-mail him at [email protected].

Sports Fantasy Sports Football
Update frequency
every day
Average duration
10 minutes
Episodes
47
Years Active
2025
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Jayden Daniels and Year 2 QB Declines

Jayden Daniels and Year 2 QB Declines

What do Jayden Daniels and Carson Wentz have in common? Not much, except they both were drafted #2 overall, helped lead their franchise to success not seen in years, and crushed it at/near the start …

00:13:58  |   Mon 18 Aug 2025
The Age 26 WR Anomaly

The Age 26 WR Anomaly

The once dominant Dez Bryant, Odell Beckham Jr., and Michael Thomas were never the same after their age-26 seasons. Last year, the 11 WRs with the most receiving yards were 25 or younger. Should dyna…

00:13:01  |   Sun 17 Aug 2025
The Optimal Auction Draft Strategy

The Optimal Auction Draft Strategy

Only 10 of the 20 highest-priced players in 2024 fantasy auctions met or exceeded expectations. Here’s how to optimize value and minimize risk.

00:15:53  |   Sat 16 Aug 2025
Is Caleb Williams the New Jared Goff?

Is Caleb Williams the New Jared Goff?

With reports that Caleb Williams and his offense are struggling a bit in camp, should managers be concerned? Or is this like Jared Goff circa 2022, before the Lions’ offense started clicking?

00:10:09  |   Fri 15 Aug 2025
The Instability of Dynasty RB Values

The Instability of Dynasty RB Values

Some dynasty RBs are worth what you invest in them. Many “great” RBs are not.

00:17:50  |   Thu 14 Aug 2025
Jonathan Taylor and DJ Giddens

Jonathan Taylor and DJ Giddens

Why is Jonathan Taylor overvalued and rookie backfield teammate DJ Giddens undervalued?

00:07:37  |   Wed 13 Aug 2025
Fantasy Implications of Home-Field Advantage

Fantasy Implications of Home-Field Advantage

This season, AFC teams will have one more home game than NFC teams. History shows that will impact macro-level fantasy production.

00:10:04  |   Tue 12 Aug 2025
Drafting Too Many WRs

Drafting Too Many WRs

Why “Check out the seven wide receivers I just drafted!“ is often one of the saddest statements in fantasy.

00:08:03  |   Mon 11 Aug 2025
Saquon Barkley vs the Madden Curse

Saquon Barkley vs the Madden Curse

The Madden Curse is real, but it’s not a curse. Here’s why it was predictable that five of the six RBs featured on EA Sports’ Madden NFL video game regressed and/or had serious injuries right after a…

00:10:30  |   Sun 10 Aug 2025
Keenan Allen, Tre Harris, and Quentin Johnston

Keenan Allen, Tre Harris, and Quentin Johnston

On episode 2, I discussed the strange impact of Mike Williams’ retirement on Trey Harris‘s and Quentin Johnston‘s ADPs. Keenan Allen‘s recent arrival makes this story even stranger.

00:10:05  |   Sat 09 Aug 2025
Tua Tagovailoa

Tua Tagovailoa

Why are ADPs based more on last year’s stats than on context, and what does this tell us about Tua Tagovailoa’s (QB20 ADP) actual value?

00:08:43  |   Fri 08 Aug 2025
Fantasy Impact of 7th-Round RB Draft Picks

Fantasy Impact of 7th-Round RB Draft Picks

Since 2002, the average rookie scoring ranking for 7th-round running backs is RB123. That excludes all the 7th-round rookies who don’t even see game action. So should managers buy into the hype surro…

00:11:09  |   Thu 07 Aug 2025
Travis Kelce

Travis Kelce

Why does the market still view Travis Kelce as a near-elite fantasy TE?

00:08:58  |   Wed 06 Aug 2025
How Much Should We Care About Hype?

How Much Should We Care About Hype?

Two summers ago, Kadarius Toney had plenty of hype. After Week 1, in hindsight, his career was effectively over. This summer, Jaydon Blue has received negative and positive reviews. How should manage…

00:11:08  |   Tue 05 Aug 2025
Devonta Smith

Devonta Smith

Why is Devonta Smith a clear bargain at his WR25 ADP?

00:10:09  |   Mon 04 Aug 2025
One More Really Important Thing About Fantasy Rankings

One More Really Important Thing About Fantasy Rankings

A quarterback’s overall ADP is 110. I’ve got him at 60. When should you draft him?

00:08:23  |   Sun 03 Aug 2025
Zach Ertz

Zach Ertz

Can Zach Ertz replicate his 2024 resurgence and remain fantasy-relevant?

00:08:55  |   Sat 02 Aug 2025
Kimani Vidal / When Preseason Games Matter

Kimani Vidal / When Preseason Games Matter

Most big performers in the opening week of the preseason do very little during the regular season. So how should we size up last night’s biggest performers?

00:10:14  |   Fri 01 Aug 2025
Longevity of Dual-Threat QBs

Longevity of Dual-Threat QBs

Do Lamar Jackson and Josh Allen have only one or two great years remaining? Or is the data set for dual-threat declining quarterbacks too small?

00:13:08  |   Thu 31 Jul 2025
The Flaw of Fantasy Draft Rankings

The Flaw of Fantasy Draft Rankings

Draft rankings matter, but only if we’re speaking the same language. Hint: we’re not.

00:10:01  |   Wed 30 Jul 2025
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