Jeff Snider will guide you through the realm of monetary science. Multiple episodes uploaded each week, discussing big news and key current events, the state of markets and what they are telling you, as well as historical summaries and deep background material so that you can understand what’s really going on in this eurodollar’s world.
Inflation pressures are disappearing as deflation and recession conditions continue to take over. The Federal Reserve won't be able to keep up its interest rate stance for very long.
The 5-year TIPS …
Oil can't catch a sustained bid, too easily falling right back into contango. With the US debt ceiling agreement (in principle), rates markets worldwide can now go back to their regularly scheduled a…
Everyone loves GDP including the government agency which calculates it. Even so, GDI has been a more useful signal for cyclical changes, particularly peaks. Last week's GDP update included the first …
Structural inflation or something else. To mainstream Economists, consumer prices are being driven by structural forces such as demographics, oil production, and, of course, government. As Ronald Coa…
Trying to figure out the state of the economy and monetary system by looking backward through consumer price estimates is, well, backward. To understand where we're going, we have to look forward by …
German GDP revisions show the country already mired in recession despite the government's assurances there wouldn't be one. And to reemphasize the global nature of the deflationary setback, US corpor…
The deflationary wave sweeping the global system isn't one thing or another, it is becoming all the things everywhere. That's what makes such a compelling case for the worst case, a deflationary rece…
Saudi Arabia's oil minister implicitly threatened more action from OPEC due to "low" prices and growing short positions betting against supply constraints. Demand is increasingly dire and not just fo…
The LIBOR scandal won't go away because it hasn't been properly identified. Govts and officials have alleged it was banks who misbehaved when all along it may have been authorities. Why did they get …
Treasury Secretary Yellen held talks with major Wall Street CEOs and bank advisors, raising the subject of further bank mergers. Though that part of the discussion wasn't in the official readout, it …
Everyone remotely familiar with banking over the last few years knows there's systemic risk and it starts with commercial real estate (CRE). The Fed's very own Financial Stability Report for May 2023…
WTI futures curve moved further in contango, now joined by another major milestone for the dollar bull-ying its way across Asia. China's yuan has slumped substantially, today falling well below 7 to …
The expression "slowly at first, then all at once" can describe an economy's descent into nasty recession. There are warning signs all over starting with WTI back in contango. Major retailers have no…
China's reopening is dead and buried. The country's government reported truly sobering economic data that proved beyond any doubt there is nothing left to it. Worse, much of that same data showed the…
Forward rates and forward rate spreads have substantially deteriorated since March. They were already more inverted than at any time in 2007 leading up to 2008. How could they be so much worse in 202…
Consumer confidence fell sharply in two recent surveys, as recession fears and banking woes deepen rather than fade. Small businesses facing the same pressures are beginning to crack, too, as the ini…
Because so many of us focus so much on US banks, and US banks are making it easy to do this, it's also easy to lose sight of the fact this crisis is far from limited to the United States and a few of…
As expected, not only is another bank in danger of failing, they're blaming short sellers for it. Jamie Dimon made the ridiculous comments today as major market swings leave little doubt where all th…
Deflationary money leads to a deflationary economy which has to be disinflationary first. We keep getting "anomalies" in the monetary system (interest rate swaps and collateral) including another one…
The Chinese reported renewed declines for their imports, including a big one in crude oil. When OPEC announced production cuts, they could see China wasn't living up to reopening hype and the latest …