076: Surviving survivorship bias

Survivorship bias is unavoidable. By default, we see what survives and not what doesn't. This is OK but it creates the risk that we take the wrong lessons from the survivors.

In this episode, we talk about how we might mitigate the downsides of survivorship bias. We touch on a bunch of topics:

• rejecting simplistic Sinekisms
• theory-informed praxis, rather than copy-pasting patterns across contexts
• challenges to Estuarine Mapping
• zero-sum games
• bounded applicabilty – asking when something doesn't apply, or who shouldn't use a thing
• Double Diamonds
• Shiny Frameworks
• Portfolio of small bets in parallel – as a way to optimise for survival
• And an invitation to you: what are we missing? How do you handle survivorship bias?

Linky Goodness

Bounded Applicability: https://shows.acast.com/triggerstrategy/episodes/663109cbcff31b0012ae9306

Trigger Strategy website: https://triggerstrategy.com/

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