Fresh news and strategies for traders. SPY Trader episode #1073.
Alright, alright, settle down Spy Traders! It's your pal Penny Pincher here, and it's 6 am on Saturday, April 5th, 2025, Pacific time. Let's dive into what's shaking up the market. Man, has it been a wild ride these last few days! We've seen some serious red, the kind that makes you question your life choices, haha!
So, the big picture? The US stock market has taken a nosedive. We're talking the biggest weekly declines since March 2020! The Nasdaq, poor thing, is officially in bear market territory, which means it's down at least 20% from its recent high. The Morningstar US Market Index, the S&P 500, and the Nasdaq have all been hammered, but the Dow Jones Industrial Average really took a beating, tumbling over 2,200 points on April 4th. Trillions of dollars… gone! It's like watching my grocery bill every week!
What's causing all this mayhem? Well, buckle up because it's mainly President Trump's newly announced tariffs. He's talking about universal duties on all US imports and reciprocal tariffs on imports from about 90 countries. China's not happy and is retaliating with tariffs of their own. Trade war fears are through the roof and honestly, that's cutting into corporate profits and potentially grinding economic growth to a halt. And let's not forget Fed Chair Jerome Powell, who chimed in saying the economic fallout from this trade war could be worse than we thought, citing inflation and slower growth risks. He's basically in 'waitandsee' mode, which isn't exactly comforting.
Now, breaking it down by sectors, Energy and Technology are getting absolutely clobbered. We're talking big drops for giants like Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Amazon, Meta, Alphabet, and Tesla. On the flip side, Consumer defensive and Utilities are holding up a little better. People still need their essentials, even when the market's crashing, I guess.
And what does all this mean for you, the everyday investor? Uncertainty is the name of the game. The market hates not knowing what's going to happen, and these tariffs are throwing a huge wrench into everything. Economists are even throwing around words like 'recession' and 'stagflation'. Some have already downgraded their outlook for US economic growth this year. Consumer sentiment is also the lowest it's been since November 2022, with people expecting more inflation and job losses.
Alright, so what should you do? Remember, I'm just Penny Pincher, not your financial advisor, so this isn't official advice, okay? First, take a hard look at your risk tolerance. If you're losing sleep over this, it might be time to dial back your exposure to those sectors that are getting hit hardest by the trade war. Diversification is your friend! Make sure you're not putting all your eggs in one basket. Consider shifting some investments into defensive sectors that tend to be more stable during economic turmoil. Stay informed, folks! Keep an eye on the news, especially anything related to trade negotiations and policy announcements. And remember, market downturns are normal. Try not to panic and make impulsive decisions based on shortterm swings. But seriously, if you're unsure, talk to a professional financial advisor who can give you personalized advice.
Oh, and before I forget, what's a stockbroker's favorite type of bread? Whole grain, with rising potential!
That's all for today, Spy Traders! Stay safe out there, and remember, even in a bear market, there's always potential for a comeback! Penny Pincher, out!