1. EachPod

The Simple Side's Saturday Sendout: BLSH Call Printed Money | UNH Call Printed Money | AAPL Call Printed

Author
The Simple Side
Published
Sat 16 Aug 2025
Episode Link
https://thesimpleside.substack.com/p/the-simple-sides-saturday-sendout-9b4

This is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit thesimpleside.substack.com

To Simple Side Shareholders — good morning! I am glad to have you join me for another Saturday Sendout. We are finally back on all podcasting platforms as well!

If you are new here or unfamiliar with our content, you can see the layout of everything below!

* SATURDAY [free]

* Market Commentary

* Weekly Picks Performance

* An Interesting Trade Idea *NEW*

* Total Portfolio Performance

* SATURDAY [paid]

* Our Weekly Picks

* Mergers & Acquisitions Picks

* Top Stock Picks

* Micro Cap Stock Picks

* Earnings & Options

**** Paying subscribers — I will be sending you an email about the plan forward since Double Finance is closing its doors. Be on the watch for an email this week**** I missed this last week as I was sick!

Next Weeks Updates

I am going to be changing the format of the newsletter next week. Instead of discussing the weekly picks, we are going to be focusing more on the long-term portfolios. Of course, we are going to keep the picks for everyone looking to keep trading weekly, but it is going to be much less of the newsletter.

The new format going forward will look similar to this:

* FREE

* Market Commentary & News

* Quick Insider Trade Updates

* Interesting Trade Ideas

* Portfolio Performance

* PAID

* Portfolio Holdings & News

* Flagship Fund, AI-2nd Hand Effect, Tech-Focused Growth

* Portfolio Strategies, Updates & New Bets

* Our Weekly Picks

* Mergers & Acquisitions Picks

* Top Stock Picks

As a reminder, all of this will be accessible to you via copy trading. Remember that these portfolios ARE NOT GET RICH QUICK portfolios. I am focused on long-term market outperformance.

Anyone who is constantly promising +50% returns annually is lying. There is one man who is able to do that and his name is Jim Simmons. He is the most secretive man on the planet and refuses to divulge information about how he trades. Do not believe these “guaranteed +50% annual return” con artists.

There will be updates made to the paid subscriber spreadsheet as well, but I will likely update everyone on those when they are completed!

The Saturday Sendout (commentary)

Big picture

Stocks ground out fresh records mid-week and finished higher overall, paced by cooler-than-feared CPI, resilient earnings, and a bid into small caps and homebuilders. A hotter PPI print pared rate-cut odds a touch and nudged long yields higher into Friday.

* Weekly moves: S&P 500 +0.9%, Nasdaq +0.8%, Dow +1.7%, S&P Mid Cap 400 +1.6%, Russell 2000 +3.1%.

* Rate path: CPI in line (headline +0.2% m/m; core +0.3% m/m). PPI surprised to the upside (+0.9% m/m). Markets still lean toward a 25 bp cut in September, but the PPI print trimmed confidence.

* Yields: 2-yr ~3.76% (flat on week); 10-yr up to ~4.33% by Friday.

* Leadership: Healthcare, Consumer Discretionary, and small caps outperformed; mega-cap tech was mixed; homebuilders rallied.

Macro & policy

* Inflation: Headline CPI 2.7% y/y; core 3.1% y/y. PPI broad-based gains across stages of production.

* Growth pulse: Services PMI hovered near the expansion line; factory orders were soft ex-transportation slightly positive.

* Fed expectations: Cut odds remained elevated for September, with debate about follow-on moves into Q4.

Sector check

* Winners: Healthcare (helped by UNH, LLY momentum), Consumer Discretionary (retail, homebuilders), Materials.

* Laggards: Real Estate, parts of Energy, and selected Semis after mixed guides.

* Breadth: Equal-weight S&P and small caps outpaced the cap-weighted index on several sessions.

Day-by-day

Monday (8/11)

* Tape: Early strength faded; S&P -0.3%, Nasdaq -0.3%, Dow -0.5% as traders squared up ahead of CPI.

* Chips & trade: Nvidia/AMD reportedly accepted a 15% revenue remittance on China AI-chip sales in exchange for export licenses; semis wobbled.

* Capital moves: Ørsted plunged on a $9.4B rights issue to fully fund Sunrise Wind. Western Union agreed to buy Intermex (~$500M).

* Company flow: C3.ai cut outlook and reorganized sales; SoftBank weighed a PayPay U.S. IPO; Avantor drew activist pressure; RadNet beat; GSK won FDA priority review (Blujepa).

Tuesday (8/12)

* Tape: CPI-relief rally to new highs—S&P +1.1%, Nasdaq +1.3%, Dow +1.1%; small caps ripped (R2K +3.0%).

* Rates: September cut odds jumped; curve twisted with 2-yr down, 10-yr up.

* Corporate: Gildan neared a Hanesbrands deal; Pfizer/Astellas’ Padcev+Keytruda hit key endpoints in bladder cancer; Bakkt pivoted to crypto infrastructure; Kodak outlined pension asset reversion and U.S. pharma capacity plans.

Wednesday (8/13)

* Tape: More highs with rotation—S&P +0.3%, Dow +1.0%, Nasdaq +0.1%; equal-weight and small caps led.

* Deals/defense: Advent to acquire Sapiens ($2.5B). Elbit won a ~$1.6B European contract. Exxon inked exploration off Trinidad & Tobago.

* Other movers: Hudbay sold 30% of Copper World to Mitsubishi; TSMC to phase out 6-inch wafers over two years.

Thursday (8/14)

* Tape: PPI surprise cooled risk appetite; indices mixed (S&P +0.03%, Nasdaq -0.07%, Dow -0.02%); small/mid caps fell ~1.2%.

* AI & infra: Cisco set FY26 revenue target $59–60B on AI orders >$2B in FY25; Foxconn guided AI-server revenue +170% y/y for Q3.

* Energy/industrials: EPD managed a Houston terminal leak; Halliburton won a North Sea stimulation pact with COP.

* Bankruptcy: TPI Composites entered Chapter 11 with DIP financing.

Friday (8/15)

* Tape: Mixed finish—S&P -0.29%, Nasdaq -0.51%, Dow +0.08%; yields drifted up; VIX stayed contained.

* Earnings & guides: Applied Materials posted record Q3 but guided Q4 lower on China uncertainty; still sees FY25 growth. Oracle expanded Google Cloud tie-up to bring Gemini models to OCI. Accenture bought CyberCX to scale APAC cyber.

* Standouts: UnitedHealth jumped after Berkshire disclosed a new stake. Precigen surged on FDA approval of Papzimeos for RRP. Nu Holdings delivered strong growth.

* Autos/EVs: XPeng and Volkswagen accelerated joint E/E architecture milestones in China.

Notable deal & capital flow

* M&A / stakes: Western Union → Intermex; Advent → Sapiens; Gildan → Hanesbrands (agreement announced later in week); Centrica/ECP → Grain LNG terminal; Alcon → STAAR Surgical (earlier this week’s flow).

* Programs & financing: Uber authorized $20B in buybacks; Coinbase priced $2.6B converts; Meta secured $29B project financing for a Louisiana AI campus.

* Restructurings: TPI Composites Ch.11; C3.ai leadership and go-to-market changes.

Single-stock highlights

* Chips/AI: Nvidia/AMD China-license structure weighed on near-term sentiment; TSMC July sales +26% y/y earlier in the month; Coherent slumped on datacom share concerns.

* Healthcare: UNH rallied on Berkshire stake; GSK priority review; Pfizer/Astellas oncology data positive; Precigen won FDA approval; Eli Lilly launched Mounjaro pen in India.

* Energy/commodities: Exxon expanded Caribbean exploration; OXY/COP advanced capital efficiency plans; gold eased late-week despite earlier strength.

* Retail/consumer: Homebuilders strong; selected e-commerce (JD.com, Vipshop) beat; Roblox fell on safety headlines.

“Guru” flow (selected)

* Berkshire opened UNH.

* Stan Druckenmiller added TSM; Louis Bacon added CCRN; Carl Icahn added CTRI.

* Multiple long-onlys rotated toward cyclicals (homebuilders, industrials) and added to semis on weakness.

The read-through

The market rewarded signs of disinflation without growth shock, and breadth improved as small caps and cyclicals caught a bid. A firmer PPI reminds that the Fed still needs comfort to cut, keeping rates-sensitive factors and high-multiple names twitchy around data drops. AI capex and semis remain the swing factor; healthcare leadership broadened the advance.

What I’m watching next

Housing data, retail sales, and the next round of Fed speaker cadence for confirmation of September cut odds.

Weekly Picks Performance

Our weekly picks are made in this newsletter (behind the paywall) every week. Now, nearly all of my conventional investing wisdom says that trading stocks weekly on “news” is a terrible idea. One particular quote comes to mind:

“Buy bad news, sell good news.”

Yet, we are doing the opposite! We are following good news & capitalizing on it weekly. Why does this work? Well, in a “normal” market, they don’t work; however, we are in a “dumb money” market (read about dumb money here).

The main idea is that a significant amount of money is being allocated to equity markets without proper investment strategies (aka people trading the news). This creates ample opportunity to capture the alpha (excess returns) by making quick buys/sells in the market. Wondering if it works? See for yourself…

We have generated excess returns of 70% on these weekly picks alone.

Interesting Trade Ideas

Every once in a while, something strikes me as an opportunity in the market. Maybe I see an undervalued opportunity trending down on bad news, or an industry I want to talk about quickly. That is what you see here — quick bites on top hits!

TTD Stock Drop

We saw TTD fall a bit further this week, down around 5%. Overall, I think the company is currently undervalued. We did see a 2%-ish jump on Friday open, which shows general positive sentiment surrounding the company. I wouldn’t make a MASSIVE bet on TTD, but any small bet is reasonable at these prices.

Healthcare Stocks

I don’t know what else to say about this. Buffett bought, and we capitalized greatly. This marks the 4th or 5th week in a row I spent calling out healthcare stocks as market laggards. The companies were poised for a comeback, and that is exactly what we have seen happen.

UNH ended up rising over 25% on Buffett buying news (alongside other investors), and it seems like the company is now backed in full faith by market whales. UNH was the 6th most purchased company in Q4 by hedge funds, and that comes as no surprise.

Here is our callout we made in May: LINK.

Apple Stock

We called out Apple stock when it fell below $200, and the stock just hit $230 this week. Nothing else to say here other than I made this exact comment: “Timmy Cook has already kissed the ring… and I guarantee Trump will reneg on his threat to Apple in due time. If you are an Apple (AAPL) bull, I highly recommend picking up your DCA values for the next 72-96 hours…”

Same article as above, found here: LINK

The IPO World

BLSH… what a score this was. Shares hit the market pre-IPO at $37 (where I was able to pick up some shares). Then, on the open market, shares started trading around 2 PM EST at about $91 (where I picked up more shares). I sold out of everything at $114 and took a 25% gain on the open market shares. The pre-IPO shares returned 208%.

Not a bad return for a $200 annual subscription! You can read about this IPO callout here: LINK TO IPO ARTICLE.

Total Portfolio Performance

Now, I know that many of my subscribers are looking for longer-term plays and don’t care too much about the weekly picks. I think that is just fine — our longer-term holdings have also been outperforming.

We utilize a dumbbell or barbell portfolio approach with one side offering a long-term “safe/slow” growth (cash, bonds, The Flagship Fund). The other side chases high growth potential (Contrarian Trades, Weekly Picks, Tech-Growth portfolios).

This balanced approach has proven effective time and time again. We also offer paying subscribers the ability to look at any and all of our stocks and portfolios with real-time updates here: Check it all out here (for paying subscribers).

My portfolio average return is up over 43% YTD.

Our contrarian portfolio is up over 70% YTD, followed closely by our weekly picks at +47% returns year to date (these are the picks found in today’s newsletter).

The lagging portfolio (based on a buy-and-hold basis) is the Flagship Fund. We expect performance to pick up in the latter parts of the year when markets stabilize.

Weekly Picks

Okay, let’s get into the picks that have returned 47% YTD and 70% over the past 57 weeks. As always, what you see below is a summary of our investments for this week!

🟢THE BUYS🟢

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