The David Hunter Perspective - 2022-01-26

Will Russia Actually Invade Ukraine?, What Might Result if Russia Invades Ukraine?, Will Putin Violate a Signed International Agreement If He Invades Ukraine?, Putin's plans to organize a coup against Pres. Zelinski and Install a Puppet

Retired US Diplomat to 5 different nations  David Hunter shares his knowledge, passion, interest, and experience.

1) Will Russia Actually Invade Ukraine?: The news is full of reports that Russia may actually invade although it is still not certain.  US Secretary of State Blinken has been working furiously to build allied support to invoke strong sanctions if Putin crosses the line.  Biden misstepped in a 2 hour press conference saying NATO allies may disagree on what to do if it is a limited invasion.  What do you think will happen? 
 

2) What Might Result if Russia Invades Ukraine?:  We hear of Russia's 100,000 troop buildup and various points of attack.  The US and NATO allies are sending in anti-tank and anti-aircraft equipment to help Ukraine's army.   And even 8,000 US troops being set to redeploy to Baltic NATO member states to protect them from Russian aggression.  What can Ukraine and Baltic states do to defend themselves?

3) Will Putin Violate a Signed International Agreement If He Invades Ukraine?:  The US, UK and Russia (then headed by Putin)  signed the "Budapest Memorandum on Security Assurances" on December 5, 1994.  It was/is a signed international political treaty by all three nations to provide security assurances against the threat or use of force against Ukraine's territorial integrity or political independent, and to respect it's existing borders.  It was part of a deal to get Ukraine, then the 3ed largest nuclear power state, to denuclearlze.  Putin signed this diplomatic treaty.   Should he be held accountable for now breaking it?  

4)  Putin's plans to organize a coup against Pres. Zelinski and Install a Puppet: UK  intelligence announced this week that Russia is trying to overthrow Ukraine's President and install a pro-Russian puppet.  They did that in Afghanistan, w/ Major General Mohammed Najibullah, before he was overthrown and hanged by the Taliban in 1992.  Will we see a repeat of Russia's failure in this new Ukraine situation?  

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