1-6-25 Santa Was a No-show

We're baaack from our Winter Break, and it seemed as if Santa arrived on Christmas Eve, pushing the markets back above the important 50-DMA. However, by the end of the year, it seemed investors were naughty this year and received a “lump of coal,“ with markets selling off back toward recent lows. Despite Friday’s impressive reflexive rally, the market fell about 0.5% short of rallying enough to save the “Santa Rally.” What does this mean for markets this year? Higher than average returns aren't normal; it's not often to get back-to-back 20% earnings years (charts). Lance discusses the potential impact of Tariffs in 2025, based on past experiences; Wall Street is going to provide whatever people are willing to buy, at a price. Company earnings will matter in 2025; where will the risk be? Crdit Spreads are the "early warnings system" of leading indicators. Risks this year will be a) an increase in volatility and b) disappointing earnings (a return to normal). SEG-1: What Does a No-show Santa Mean for Markets? SEG-2: Higher than Average Returns Aren't Normal SEG-3: The Thing About Tariffs in 2025 SEG-4: Why Earnings Will Matter in 2025 Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NONYWlJFI6M&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Global Conditions Portend A Catch-Down In America" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/global-conditions-portend-a-catch-down-in-america/ "Permabull? Hardly." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/permabull-hardly/ "Trump Election Sends NFIB Optimism Surging" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/trump-election-sends-nfib-optimism-surging/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Investor Watchword: Curb Your Expectations," is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QRomsXjIE70&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "What the Trump Win Means for Your Taxes" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nwAIudzT9gQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=7s ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #AverageReturns #NormalReturns #ETFinflows #LeveragedETFs #DecemberMarkets #NoSantaRally #StockMarket2025 #HolidayInvestmentTrends #SantaClausRally #SantaRallyFail #Expectations #MarketIndicators #CurbExpectations #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing