Talkin' Politics 1/22/2024: Missouri's Abortion Petition; Child Tax Credit Moves Forward; Missouri GOP Infighting; 2024 Election Coverage Era - Trump v. Haley v. Biden v. No Labels

TALKIN’ POLITICS

Quick Hit: Memphis area bank hit for discriminatory red lining practices… in 2023 https://finance.yahoo.com/news/patriot-bank-pay-1-9m-211421738.html

1. True or False
   1.  The new tax bill including the child tax credit will be signed into law by January 29th? 
      1. Newsweek: https://www.newsweek.com/child-tax-credit-changes-2024-1862241
      2. Semafor: https://www.semafor.com/article/01/16/2024/top-lawmakers-release-bipartisan-tax-deal-expanding
2. Yea…Yeah!
   1. Missouri group’s abortion petition effort raised $1 Million in first day of existence 
      1. https://missouriindependent.com/2024/01/19/missouri-abortion-ballot-viabilty-effort-fundraises-1-million/
   2. Missourians for Constitutional Freedom
      1. https://moconstitutionalfreedom.org/
      2. Amendment text: https://moconstitutionalfreedom.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Missourians-for-Constitutional-Freedom-Amendment.pdf
      3. The Heartland Collective Summary: https://theheartlandcollective.com/
      4. National Coverage: https://thehill.com/homenews/4415080-abortion-rights-advocates-single-ballot-measure-collect-signatures-missouri/
      5. 
          
      6. SEAN with your experience in the field, what are the best ways to help an effort like this? 
3. You Don’t F***ing Say
   1. Missouri GOP On The Struggle Bus
   2. https://missouriindependent.com/2024/01/18/tempers-flare-in-missouri-senate-during-gop-fight-over-initiative-petition-changes/
   3. Conservative Caucus, or freedom caucus, whatever they want to be called, they are pushing the IP reform HARD and especially in the face of organization on the abortion petition
      1. https://themissouritimes.com/press-release-missouri-freedom-caucus-calls-for-republican-leaders-to-follow-through-on-ip-reform/
   4. Meanwhile - they have not lost their zeal for filing anti-trans legislation
      1. https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2024/jan/19/missouri-anti-trans-legislation-this-year?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other

2024 Election Coverage Era

1. DeEnd for DeSantis? Candidate appearances on Sunday shows cancelled this weekend 
2. Iowa has come and gone, Trump took majority, and New Hampshire is starting to feel like the chance for a narrative shift
   1. https://www.axios.com/2024/01/19/haleys-cautious-new-hampshire-primary-trump
   2. Haley sharpens attack https://x.com/nikkihaley/status/1748348447634100366?s=46&t=mukZUfs5M_R3E9tAHIu-GA
   3. 
       
   4. Real Clear politics has Haley at 33% and Trump at 49%
      1. https://www.realclearpolitics.com/
   5. One tracking poll has Trump up over 50%
      1. https://www.nbcboston.com/news/local/trump-slightly-increases-lead-over-haley-in-nh-according-to-latest-polling/3251887/
3. Third Party Law Suit https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/jan/18/third-party-file-complaint-no-labels-2024-election?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other
4. Trump’s defense on 14th amend case is a threat of violence https://www.cnn.com/2024/01/18/politics/14th-amendment-supreme-court-trump-colorado/index.html
5. 
    
6. Trump totally not looking like a mob boss as retribution is threatened for anyone who dare oppose him in the GOP: https://www.axios.com/2024/01/18/trump-campaign-revenge-desantis-iowa-bob-good
7. Trump’s Georgia Hail Mary: https://www.npr.org/2024/01/18/1225402050/georgia-trump-case-fani-willis-hearing-allegations
8. Lawmaker threats - the chaos, does it just turn folks off?
   1. https://www.alternet.org/direct-threats-against-lawmakers-surge/
9. Trump losing his GOP favorable stranglehold: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/favorability/donald-trump/
10. Fox and friends calling out a Trump lie
    1. https://www.meidastouch.com/news/fox-friends-says-trump-lied-about-nh-voting-laws
    2. This is what putative damages will do to you 
11. BIDEN
    1. Meanwhile Biden will be a write in in New Hampshire
       1. https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/01/18/biden-new-hampshire-democratic-primary-ballot/72241066007/
    2. Primary schedule: https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-primary-elections/calendar
    3. By the end of the day on Feb 3rd Biden will have a substantial lead in delegates after South Carolina and Nevada, with Michigan closing out February 
       1. Those three combined offer 208 delegates so the math will kick in and suddenly Biden will have a commanding lead prior to Super Tuesday 
    4. Plus a possible immigration bill, and now he’s on the offensive on the issue too
       1. https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/white-house/biden-says-senate-may-come-border-deal-early-week-rcna134832
    5. Biden trying to go full Bartlet with 2 state solution 
       1. https://www.nytimes.com/2024/01/19/us/politics/biden-calls-netanyahu-as-their-views-on-the-conduct-of-the-gaza-war-diverge.html
       2. 
           

That’s when the MONEY really begins to matter

NY  Times: https://www.nytimes.com/2024/01/15/us/politics/biden-fundraising-democrats.html

Biden has BY FAR the most cash on hand

Haley’s $ is not that far off from Trump

Last Call - NO LABELS

No labels gets sued https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/jan/18/third-party-file-complaint-no-labels-2024-election

Phillips courting no labels https://www.nytimes.com/2024/01/20/us/politics/dean-phillips-no-labels-biden.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare

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