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Will Trump's Trade Derail the Stock Market? A Macro Analysis

Author
42 Macro
Published
Wed 23 Oct 2024
Episode Link
https://42macro.com/podcasts-macro-minute?id=6c78565e932446be88417837edbee034&utm_campaign_id=podcast&content=mm_2024-10-23&utm_source=mp3&utm_medium=podcast&utm_campaign=macrominute&utm_id=podcast&utm_term=episode

This episode dives into the potential impact of Trump's tax and tariff policies on the global market, discussing rising interest rates, increased bond volatility, and tightening global liquidity as the USD strengthens. The discussion covers risks including possible trade wars and supply shocks, while detailing portfolio strategies for both retail and institutional investors through systems like KISS and Dr. Mo. Listeners also hear insights from quantitative signals, such as a bearish crowding model for uranium miners and oversold conditions in the Russell 2000, set against a GOLDILOCKS risk-on environment. In addition, topics like sticky inflation, the resilient U.S. economy, and market positioning indicators are explored to provide a comprehensive view of current macroeconomic dynamics.

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