Navigating Macro Trends: Policy, Inflation, and Global Liquidity

This episode explores pressing macroeconomic questions including the ECB’s approach to persistent inflation, President Trump’s tariff policy and its global ripple effects, and key indicators of US economic resilience. The discussion covers portfolio strategies to mitigate the risks of currency devaluations, insights from quantitative signals and market regimes, and practical models for both retail and institutional investors. Additionally, the podcast explains how tools like the output gap and labor market cycles serve as measures of economic capacity constraints.