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Navigating Macro Policy Shifts: Portfolio Strategies in a Deflationary Environment

Author
42 Macro
Published
Fri 07 Mar 2025
Episode Link
https://42macro.com/podcasts-macro-minute?id=068c6753f8534283bc3f7e6ceb19f27e&utm_campaign_id=podcast&content=mm_2025-03-07&utm_source=mp3&utm_medium=podcast&utm_campaign=macrominute&utm_id=podcast&utm_term=episode

In this episode, the discussion centers around the potential economic and financial adjustments as the Trump administration may counter Biden's policies. Key topics include shifts from a K-shaped to an E-shaped economy, the implications of trillions in asset repositioning, and the risks of heightened market volatility. The podcast delves into defensive portfolio positioning, potential liquidity constraints, and opportunities in non-U.S. markets amid a deflation regime. Quantitative signals from various models and global positioning risks are analyzed alongside insights from the KISS Portfolio Construction Process, which aims to attain superior risk-adjusted returns. A client question about the KISS strategy's consistent outperformance over traditional portfolios is also addressed.

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