Key Macro Questions: Is Consensus Too Bearish?

In this episode, 42 Macro explores whether market consensus turned too bearish in light of disinflation evidence from recent earnings releases and corporate guidance. The discussion covers earnings-driven stock movements, portfolio strategies using systematic overlays and positioning guidance, and an analysis of short-, medium-, and long-term quantitative signals. It also delves into the prevailing inflationary market regime, highlighting risk-off asset allocation preferences and the potential for a hawkish monetary shift. Additionally, the podcast explains the inspiration behind the Global Macro Risk Matrix and its role in identifying regime shifts and optimizing portfolio construction.