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Craig Hemke - Gold’s Next Breakout? COT Reports Show Bullish Setup

Author
KE Report
Published
Mon 25 Aug 2025
Episode Link
https://kereport.podbean.com/e/craig-hemke-gold-s-next-breakout-cot-reports-show-bullish-setup/

Today, Craig Hemke, founder and editor of the TF Metals Report, joins me for his regular Monday commentary on the precious metals markets. We start with a recap of last week’s market action following Jerome Powell’s remarks at Jackson Hole, which signaled that the Fed may be preparing for a September rate cut. The result: strength across equities, bonds, and precious metals, with the U.S. dollar the lone laggard.


Key Discussion Points:



  • Powell’s Jackson Hole speech and why a rate cut now looks all but certain.


  • Market reaction: broad rallies across assets, dollar weakness, and implications for gold and silver.


  • Insights from the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) report showing bullish positioning for both gold and silver.


  • Gold’s ongoing five-month consolidation and what could spark the next breakout.


  • The revaluation of junior mining stocks and what’s needed for the sector to continue higher.


  • Silver’s inertia and potential for a sharp move once momentum returns.


  • The seasonal setup heading into September and how upcoming jobs data could influence Fed policy.



Follow Craig’s work at TF Metals Report.

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