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WHAT Will AGI and OpenAI bring in 2025?

Author
The Daily AI Show Crew - Brian, Beth, Jyunmi, Andy, Karl, and Eran
Published
Mon 06 Jan 2025
Episode Link
https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/thedailyaishow/episodes/WHAT-Will-AGI-and-OpenAI-bring-in-2025-e2t5fqu

https://www.thedailyaishow.com


In today's episode of the Daily AI Show, Beth, Brian, Andy, and Karl engaged in a discussion about the newly announced OpenAI's model, "O3", particularly debating whether it constitutes artificial general intelligence (AGI). They dissected its performance, capabilities, and implications in the realm of AI, and compared it to benchmarks such as the Stanford-Binet IQ test.


Key Points Discussed:


OpenAI's New Model O3: The co-hosts discussed OpenAI's latest announcement regarding their O3 model. It was noted that O3 does not follow the sequence from O2, as O2 is a telecommunications company in Europe. The hosts explored whether this model could be classified as AGI.


The Debate on AGI: Andy expressed that the O3 model could surpass genius-level performance on the Stanford-Binet IQ test, indicating significant progression towards AGI. However, Brian contested this, suggesting that while O3 is an impressive step forward, it still remains far from achieving true AGI, particularly emphasizing the high compute cost associated with its performance milestones.


Multimodal Capabilities and Arc AGI Performance: The discussion highlighted O3's multimodal capabilities and its performance in the Arc AGI prize, reaching a high level of performance but at significant computational expense. The hosts debated whether this achievement could qualify as AGI or if it remains a part of its journey.


Definitions and Implications: Karl shared definitions of AGI from OpenAI’s own benchmarks, stating that O3 is more a step towards AGI rather than achieving it. There was also a conversation regarding the practical implications and cost efficiency of such AI models for everyday and business use.


Future Trajectories: The group reflected on the trajectory of AI development, emphasizing that while current models may not fully represent AGI, the pace of advancement means similar or greater breakthroughs could soon emerge, reshaping our understanding of AI.


#OpenAI, #AGI, #ArtificialIntelligence, #AIDevelopment, #AITrends


00:00:00 🌠 Introducing O3


00:01:04 πŸ€” Is It AGI?


00:02:23 πŸ—£οΈ Turing Test and AGI


00:05:01 🌟 O3's Potential


00:06:21 πŸ› οΈ Technical Difficulties & Intro


00:07:12 πŸ™…β€β™‚οΈ Not AGI Yet


00:09:14 πŸ’° The Cost of AGI


00:10:40 πŸ€” Carl's Perspective


00:11:46 πŸ€– Defining AGI


00:13:04 πŸ‘¨β€πŸ’» OpenAI's Definition


00:14:58 πŸš€ Agents and AGI


00:16:19 πŸ’Έ Cost Concerns


00:17:40 πŸ₯… Moving Goalposts?


00:19:26 πŸ’‘ Brian's Thoughts


00:20:45 πŸ… Child vs. AI Learning


00:22:10 🧠 IQ and AGI


00:24:34 πŸ€” Generalization


00:26:16 🍌 Stanford-Binet Test


00:28:12 ⏰ Short-Term Memory


00:30:12 🌐 Multimodality


00:32:04 πŸ€” Betsy's Audio Returns


00:34:28 πŸŽ‰ Betsy's Take & Wrap Up

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