The Bayesian Conspiracy
A conversational podcast for the less hardcore rationalist, who wants to level-up their rational skills while having fun.
- Update frequency
- every 8 days
- Average duration
- 90 minutes
- Episodes
- 312
- Years Active
- 2016 - 2025
245 – AI Welfare, with Rob Long and Rosie Campbell of Eleos
Do we need to be concerned for the welfare of AIs today? What about the near future? Eleos AI Research is asking exactly that.
LINKS
Eleos AI Research
People for the Ethical Treatment of Reinforcemen…
244 – How and Why to Form a Church, with Andrew Willsen
Andrew Willsen tells us how incorporating as a church allows you to navigate modernity, and gives us the basic steps to doing so.
LINKS
Andrew’s church substack – The Church of the Infinite Game
To i…
Bayes Blast 45 – Bees Blast
Is a bee worth 1/7th of a human? Can a bee suffer at all? Nathan joins us to discuss what neural structures are needed for this question to make sense.
243 – Wes Is Not The Monogamy Police, with Wesly Fenza and Jennifer Kesteloot
Wes defends his post I Am Not the Monogamy Police, while Jennifer asserts it’s about more than monogamy.
LINKS
Wes’s post I Am Not the Monogamy Police
His blog, Living Within Reason
The original twee…
Bayes Blast 44 – Play-By-Post Storytelling
Olivia from the Guild of the Rose is back to tell us about the noble and most ancient tradition of play-by-post storytelling. (Spoiler, it’s the precursor to glowfic!)
242 – TracingWoodgrains, live at Manifest 2025
Eneasz sits down with Tracing Woodgrains before a live audience at Manifest 2025 for a wide range of topics. Then we follow up some more afterwards.
LINKS
Tracing Woodgrains on Twitter and at his Sub…
Bayes Blast 43 – Die-ing to Intuit Bayes’ Theorem
Olivia is a member of the Guild of the Rose and a total badass. Enjoy the intuitive and fun lesson in Bayesian reasoning she shared with me at VibeCamp.
Bonus – AI Village Hosts An Event For Humans
Four AIs recruited a human to host a story-telling event in Dolores Park. Larissa Schiavo is this human. She tells of her interaction with the AIs, the story they wrote, and the meeting between human…
241 – Doom Debates, with Liron Shapira
Liron Shapira debates AI luminaries and public intellectuals on the imminent possibility of human extinction. Let’s get on the P(Doom) Train.
240 – How To Live Well With High P(Doom) – with Ben Pace, Brandon Hendrickson, Miranda Dixon-Luinenburg
Many of us have a high P(Doom) — a belief new AI tools could cause human extinction in the very near future. How can one live a good life in the face of this? We start with a panel discussion with Be…
Bayes Blast 42 – Epic AI Music
C…
239 – SymbyAI
Also – If Anyone Builds It Ever…
238 – Part 2 of How A Rationalist Becomes A Christian
237 – How A Rationalist Becomes A Christian
LINKS
Thomas Ambrose on Twitter
The Rationalist Summer Trifecta:
Manifest 2025
LessOnl…
236 – Twilight of the Edgelords with Liam Nolan
235 – Gender Differences, with Wes and Jen
LINKS
Wes’s post Men and W…
234 – GiveDirectly, with Nick Allardice
LINKS
Give Directly
GiveDirectly Tech Innovation F…
233 – AI Policy in D.C., with Dave Kasten
LINKS
Narrow Path
Center for AI Policy
Dave Kasten’s Essay on the Essay M…
Bayes Blast 41 – AI Action Plan
232 – The Milton Friedman Theory of Change, with John Bennett
LINKS
The Milton Friedman Model of Policy Change
John Bennett’s LinkedIn
Friedman’s “Capitalism and Freedom” Preface
Ross Rheingans-Yo…