1. EachPod

OCR Forecast: Cuts Coming?

Author
Zebunisso Alimova
Published
Wed 20 Aug 2025
Episode Link
None

Wondering what's next for New Zealand's Official Cash Rate and how it impacts your mortgage? In this revealing episode of Home Loan Hub, we unpack surprising forecasts about where interest rates are heading.

ANZ has taken a bold position, predicting three OCR cuts on the horizon - one each in August, November, and February. This perspective differs from other economic forecasts and could mean mortgage rates have further to fall. While banks have already factored some potential cuts into their current fixed rates, we explain why another 50 basis point drop could still be possible if these predictions prove accurate.

We dive into the current mortgage rate landscape, with six-month fixed rates at 5.24%, one-year at 4.89%, and two-year terms around 4.99%. But the real question isn't just about numbers - it's about what these rates mean for your unique situation. Through real-life examples, we illustrate why mortgage decisions shouldn't be made in isolation: from the new parents seeking five years of certainty to the couple with side income planning lump sum payments, every household needs a tailored approach.

This episode highlights why clicking a refix button online falls short compared to personalized mortgage advice. Even when break fees are involved, we demonstrate how refinancing can still achieve crucial goals like improving cash flow for families with young children. Your mortgage structure should support your life goals, not just chase the lowest rate.

Have questions about your mortgage options with potential OCR cuts on the horizon? Reach out to discuss your specific situation and discover strategies that align with your financial future.

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