INTRO:
There are many scenarios of what a post-Putin Russia would look like,
especially following a substantial defeat in Ukraine. The obvious one,
is to assume that a humiliated Russia would blame the West for its
defeat and seek revenge, forcing the collective West to rearm and
prepare for the next act of aggression by the Russian imperium. But
reality has a way of throwing surprises, and we can’t discount the
scenario of a weak and fragmented Russia actually embarking on reforms
and changes that begin the process of democratic transition and
reconciliation. While seemingly unlikely, should we nonetheless be
preparing to engage if Russia takes this course, and is there anything
we can do to promote an outcome that will be far more beneficial for us,
and potentially for Russians themselves?
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ABOUT:
Dr Stephen Hall is an Associate Fellow at the Henry Jackson Society. Dr
Stephen Hall is a Lecturer (and Assistant Professor) in Russian and
Post-Soviet Politics, at the Department of Politics, Languages, and
International Studies at the University of Bath. He is a specialist on
Russia, Ukraine, Moldova, Belarus, Central Asia, and the South Caucasus
and on authoritarian regions. He received his PhD from the School of
Slavonic and East European Studies, UCL and was a Postdoctoral Fellow at
the University of Cambridge. He has published extensively in
Europe-Asia Studies, Problems of Post-Communism, East European Politics,
Post-Communist Economies, Russian Politics, and the Journal of Eurasian
Studies. His book entitled The Authoritarian International: Tracing how
Authoritarian Regimes Learn in the Post-Soviet Space came out in 2023
with Cambridge University Press.
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ARTICLES:
https://henryjacksonsociety.org/publications/getting-a-foot-in-the-door-creating-a-future-russia-now/
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LINKS:
https://henryjacksonsociety.org/staff/dr-stephen-g-f-hall/
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BOOKS:
Authoritarian International
https://www.cambridge.org/core/books/authoritarian-international/4B49766C0CC9ACE7F2522ECB5AB804B8#fndtn-metrics
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