SUMMARY:
Moscow’s war of reconquest against Ukraine has confirmed in the most
brutal terms how Russia rejects the values underpinning European
security – the same values agreed between Moscow and the West at the end
of the Cold War. As a revisionist power, Russia has made itself the
primary obstacle to peace and security in Europe and beyond. For
stability to be restored and protected, it is essential that the outcome
of the war in Ukraine leads to a situation in which – in addition to
the expulsion of occupying forces – the exercise of Russian power is
contained rather than encouraged. Over time, Russia’s leadership must
also be persuaded to renounce its expansionist ambitions.
It’s now or never for Ukraine. A protracted or frozen conflict benefits
Russia and hurts Ukraine, as does a ceasefire or negotiated settlement
on Russia’s terms. If Ukraine is to avoid these outcomes and turn
tenacious defence and incremental battlefield gains into outright
victory, it needs far more ambitious international military assistance
than it has received to date. This report presents the case for an
immediate and decisive increase in such support, seeks to dispel
overhyped concerns about provoking Russia, and counsels against
accommodating Moscow’s demands.
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