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The 2024 Polls Were...Really Accurate

Author
Jay DeDapper, Mary Griffith, Barbara Carvalho, Lee Miringoff
Published
Fri 10 Jan 2025
Episode Link
https://poll-hub.simplecast.com/episodes/the-2024-polls-werereally-accurate-4Iwx3WXM

Recently, The New York Times ran a feature "How Top Pollsters Grade 2024’s Polls" that included Lee's analysis (and a sweet cartoon drawing of the legend himself!) and reached the conclusion, the polls were pretty damn accurate in 2024 despite the fact that most had Kamala Harris winning by a narrow margin. We discuss whether that's just wishful thinking or whether expectations have far outstripped what polls can do in our deeply 50-50 political world.

We follow with a segment discussing our latest poll results on the state of American democracy. We've been asking Americans about this for a few years and, this time Americans are the most hopeful they've been since the January 6th insurrection. And yet, a large majority are still worried.

Finally, should any American make more money than the president? If that question seems odd, perhaps that's because it's from 1939!

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