"NVIDIA's Q4 2025 Earnings: Impressive Growth, but Uncertain Near-Term Stock Outlook"

As of today, April 3, 2025, the stock price of NVIDIA (NVDA) is $110.42, having increased by 0.245% from the previous trading day. This slight uptick follows a recent decline, where the stock price dropped by 2.05% on March 27, 2025, to $111.43 from $113.76[1].

The trading volume on the last trading day was significantly lower, with a total of 236 million shares traded, which is a decrease of 54 million shares compared to the previous day. This reduction in volume alongside the stock price indicates a positive alignment, suggesting that the market is moving in line with the price trends[1].

NVIDIA has recently announced its financial results for the fourth quarter and fiscal 2025. The company reported revenue of $39.3 billion for the fourth quarter, a 12% increase from the previous quarter and a 78% increase from the same period last year. The GAAP earnings per diluted share were $0.89, up 14% from the previous quarter and up 82% from a year ago. For fiscal 2025, revenue was $130.5 billion, a 114% increase from the previous year, with GAAP earnings per diluted share at $2.94, up 147% from a year ago[2].

The company's outlook for the first quarter of fiscal 2026 includes expected revenue of $43.0 billion, with GAAP and non-GAAP gross margins anticipated to be 70.6% and 71.0%, respectively. Operating expenses are expected to be approximately $5.2 billion and $3.6 billion, respectively, for GAAP and non-GAAP[2].

In terms of analyst updates, there are mixed signals regarding NVIDIA's stock performance. The stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term moving averages, indicating a negative forecast. However, there is also a buy signal from the 3-month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), suggesting potential for further rise until a new top pivot is found[1].

For traders, critical support levels include $109.44, below which would signal a bearish continuation over the next several months. A close above $112.82 could lead to a solid day trade level, potentially pushing the stock to $121.85 by the end of next week[3].

Overall, while recent financial results are strong, the mixed analyst signals and current short-term trend suggest that NVIDIA's stock may experience further decline in the coming months. However, the company's robust financial performance and potential for future growth make it an intriguing investment opportunity for those willing to take calculated risks.

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