233. How to Be Less Terrible at Predicting the Future
- Author
- Freakonomics Radio + Stitcher
- Published
- Thu 14 Jan 2016
- Episode Link
- https://freakonomics.com
Experts and pundits are notoriously bad at forecasting, in part because they aren't punished for bad predictions. Also, they tend to be deeply unscientific. The psychologist Philip Tetlock is finally turning prediction into a science -- and now even you could become a superforecaster.
