Abstract
This post explores how emerging economic systems could lock in harmful defaults for animals and outlines a research agenda to identify opportunities and begin the groundwork for embedding animal welfare into future frameworks before it's too late.
Acknowledgements: Thanks to Ian Andrews, Kevin Xia and Andrew McCallum for thoughtful feedback on an earlier draft of this post. All mistakes are my own.
TL;DR
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Outline:
(00:12) Abstract
(00:40) TL;DR
(01:31) Introduction: why I'm writing this now
(02:12) Why economic paradigms matter for animals
(03:04) We need to hedge across plausible futures
(03:44) The logic of lock in: lessons from AI policy
(05:33) A new research space: animal welfare meets economic transition
(06:30) Avoiding false choices: long-term strategy, not a substitute
(07:40) Why now: a critical window for foundational change
(09:38) How current systems entrench suffering
(12:08) From reaction to prevention: what transition periods make possible
(13:53) A research agenda: preventing future harm
(14:13) Research aims
(15:37) Strategic actions
(17:22) Mapping future systems: three paradigms, three risks
(19:32) Case study: degrowth and animal invisibility
(20:15) Conclusion: Steering the future before its set
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First published:
July 28th, 2025
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Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.
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