Buffett’s ‘Gravity Rule’: How Rising Rates Crash (or Lift) Your Portfolio 🚀📉

This episode provided Warren Buffett's foundational belief that interest rates act as the "gravity" of the financial world, profoundly influencing asset prices and economic activity. It explains how interest rates directly impact intrinsic valuation through discounted cash flow (DCF) models, where a higher rate lowers the present value of future earnings. Furthermore, the sources detail how these rates reshape corporate behavior by affecting borrowing costs, investment decisions (hurdle rates), and overall profitability, acting as a "quality filter" for businesses. On a macroeconomic scale, interest rates are shown to be the Federal Reserve's primary lever for controlling economic growth and inflation, fundamentally altering the "price of risk" in the financial system. Finally, Buffett's historical analysis of two distinct periods (1964-1981 and 1982-1999) empirically demonstrates how changes in interest rates, not just economic growth, were the dominant drivers of stock market returns, ultimately emphasizing the importance of understanding this fundamental force for rational investment, rather than for market timing.

📚 Value Investing Book List

Warren Buffett

The Snowball: Warren Buffett and the Business of Life

Kindle: https://amzn.to/3FVasqy

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/3HIfeZ2

Paperback: https://amzn.to/4kBjUOZ

Warren Buffett and the Interpretation of Financial Statements (by Marry Buffett)

Kindle: https://amzn.to/43Vr5dD

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4n6yNus

Paperback: https://amzn.to/45XBBDL

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Charlie Munger

Poor Charlie’s Almanack

Kindle: https://amzn.to/3Zsw9VB

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4jMExq7

Collector's Edition: https://amzn.to/3SRgsn7

Tao of Charlie Munger

Kindle: https://amzn.to/4nk0akT

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/44eq8OR

Influence, New and Expanded: The Psychology of Persuasion

Kindle: https://amzn.to/4619DqL

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/40a8TMi

Paperback: https://amzn.to/40gtwq7

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Howard Marks

The Most Important Thing (Uncommon Sense for the Thoughtful Investor)

Kindle: https://amzn.to/3Tqb4Yg

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/3SRyy8A

Paperback: https://amzn.to/45ohdM0

Mastering The Market Cycle: Getting the Odds on Your Side

Kindle: https://amzn.to/3HXPmby

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/45X6AQq

Paperback: https://amzn.to/44oPGYP

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Money Philosophies

The Psychology of Money: Timeless lessons on wealth, greed, and happiness

Kindle: https://amzn.to/3FDbO9u

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4kL3TGi

Paperback: https://amzn.to/44fpkcC

Limited Gift Version: https://amzn.to/4jYomGp

Same as Ever: A Guide to What Never Changes

Kindle: https://amzn.to/3HXBJcp

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4l7vPno

Paperback: https://amzn.to/4k2ZHRe

The Almanack of Naval Ravikant: A Guide to Wealth and Happiness

Kindle: https://amzn.to/4lx2a7F

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4kGX5tf

Paperback: https://amzn.to/3ZEMXsC

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Classic Principles

The Intelligent Investor

Kindle: https://amzn.to/45T9OEv

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4l4f7W3

Paperback: https://amzn.to/43ZNyXb

Security Analysis, Seventh Edition: Principles and Techniques

Kindle: https://amzn.to/442yKak

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/3TmEEhg

Margin of Safety: Risk-Averse Value Investing Strategies for the Thoughtful Investor

Collector Edition: https://amzn.to/4lrgWNd

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Disclaimer: All analysis is based on publicly available sources and may be subject to revisions or differing interpretations. The content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Like and Subscribe us on Apple, Spotify Podcasts or Youtube channel: Deep Value Investing! Don’t forget to take the book list of value investing from the episode description!